PGA Championship predictions, picks, odds: Who wins at Valhalla in 2024? (2024)

Ten years after Rory McIlroy hoisted the PGA Championship trophy at Valhalla Golf Club, the tournament has returned to Louisville.

McIlroy also is back and will compete against the world’s top golfers this weekend. The field features 16 former PGA Championship winners including Brooks Koepka, who has won three of the last six PGA Championships, Phil Mickelson and Tiger Woods. John Daly earned the Wanamaker Trophy in 1991.

Here's a look at some PGA Championship picks, predictions and latest odds to win in 2024.

PGA Championship predictions, picks

Top PGA Championship pick 2024

Scottie Scheffler, 27, won four tournaments earlier this season: the Arnold Palmer Invitational,The Players Championship, the Masters and the Heritage. He also recently became a father after his wife, Meredith, gave birth to their son.

Given Scheffler’s hot streak, he’s the favorite to win the PGA Championship. He is ranked No. 1 in the world and leads PGA players in scoring average (68.743), birdie average (5.38), average total strokes gained (2.851), average strokes gained approaching the green (1.398) and greens in regulation percentage (74.76%).

Best non-Scheffler PGA Championship pick

Can the magic of McIlroy’s last PGA win at Valhalla return a decade later?

McIlroy has the second-best odds of winning the PGA Championship behind Scheffler. He’s coming off Sunday’s Wells Fargo Championship title. His 6-under-par 65 performance in the final round gave him a five-stroke victory over Xander Schauffele.

McIlroy has 26 PGA Tour victories, 10 runner-up finishes and 76 top-five placings in 248 events played.

Best PGA Championship 2024 dark horse pick

At +4000, Justin Thomas will be one to watch as he competes in his hometown. The St. Xavier High School graduate is due for another PGA Tour victory. In 2024, Thomas has three top-10 finishes in 10 events played. He missed the cut at the Masters but tied for fifth at the Heritage and tied for 21st at the Wells Fargo Championship. He has two PGA Championships: 2022 and 2017.

PGA Championship odds

All odds are from BetMGM.

  • Scottie Scheffler (+450)
  • Rory McIlroy (+800)
  • Brooks Koepka (+1400)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1600)
  • Ludvig Aberg (+1800)
  • Jon Rahm (+2000)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+2800)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2800)
  • Max Homa (+3300)
  • Cameron Smith (+4000)
  • Cameron Young (+4000)
  • Joaquin Niemann (+4000)
  • Justin Thomas (+4000)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+4000)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+4000)
  • Viktor Hovland (+4000)
  • Wyndham Clark (+4000)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+5000)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+5500)
  • Jason Day (+5500)
  • Will Zalatoris (+6000)
  • Dustin Johnson (+6600)
  • Jordan Spieth (+6600)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (+6600)
  • Min Woo Lee (+6600)
  • Sahith Theegala (+6600)
  • Sam Burns (+6600)
  • Sungjae Im (+6600)
  • Tony Finau (+6600)
  • Byeong-Hun An (+6600)
  • Shane Lowry (+8000)
  • Adam Scott (+10000)
  • Corey Conners (+10000)
  • Russell Henley (+10000)
  • Sepp Straka (+10000)
  • Si-Woo Kim (+10000)
  • Talor Gooch (+10000)
  • Tom Kim (+10000)
  • Akshay Bhatia (+12500)
  • Alex Noren (+12500)
  • Brian Harman (+12500)
  • Dean Burmester (+12500)
  • Patrick Reed (+12500)
  • Rickie Fowler (+12500)
  • Stephan Jaeger (+12500)
  • Cam Davis (+15000)
  • Chris Kirk (+15000)
  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+15000)
  • Denny McCarthy (+15000)
  • Keegan Bradley (+15000)
  • Keith Mitchell (+15000)
  • Nicolai Hojgaard (+15000)
  • Taylor Pendrith (+15000)
  • Tiger Woods (+15000)
  • Aaron Rai (+17500)
  • Adrian Meronk (+17500)
  • Jake Knapp (+17500)
  • Adam Hadwin (+20000)
  • Adam Schenk (+20000)
  • Billy Horschel (+20000)
  • Harris English (+20000)
  • JT Poston (+20000)
  • Justin Rose (+20000)
  • Kurt Kitayama (+20000)
  • Lucas Glover (+20000)
  • Lucas Herbert (+20000)
  • Mackenzie Hughes (+20000)
  • Matthieu Pavon (+20000)
  • Phil Mickelson (+20000)
  • Ryan Fox (+20000)
  • Thomas Detry (+20000)
  • Tom Hoge (+20000)
  • Beau Hossler (+25000)
  • Ben Griffin (+25000)
  • David Puig (+25000)
  • Eric Cole (+25000)
  • Erik van Rooyen (+25000)
  • Keita Nakajima (+25000)
  • Matt Wallace (+25000)
  • Maverick McNealy (+25000)
  • Nick Dunlap (+25000)
  • Nick Taylor (+25000)
  • Robert Macintyre (+25000)
  • Sebastian Soderberg (+25000)
  • Taylor Moore (+25000)
  • Alex Smalley (+25000)
  • Chris Gotterup (+25000)
  • Austin Eckroat (+30000)
  • Doug Ghim (+30000)
  • Luke List (+30000)
  • Patrick Rodgers (+30000)
  • Rasmus Hojgaard (+30000)
  • Thorbjorn Olesen (+30000)
  • Victor Perez (+30000)
  • S.H. Kim (+30000)
  • Adrian Otaegui (+30000)
  • Andrew Putnam (+35000)
  • Brendon Todd (+35000)
  • Gary Woodland (+35000)
  • K.H. Lee (+35000)
  • Lee Hodges (+35000)
  • Mark Hubbard (+35000)
  • Tim Widing (+35000)
  • Adam Svensson (+40000)
  • Andy Ogletree (+40000)
  • Emiliano Grillo (+40000)
  • Jordan Smith (+40000)
  • Ryo Hisatsune (+40000)
  • Takumi Kanaya (+40000)
  • Alejandro Tosti (+50000)
  • Alexander Bjork (+50000)
  • Ben Kohles (+50000)
  • Brice Garnett (+50000)
  • Charley Hoffman (+50000)
  • Grayson Murray (+50000)
  • Jesper Svensson (+50000)
  • Padraig Harrington (+50000)
  • Peter Malnati (+50000)
  • Ryan Van Velzen (+50000)
  • Sami Valimaki (+50000)
  • Taylor Montgomery (+50000)
  • Thriston Lawrence (+50000)
  • Vincent Norrman (+50000)
  • Francesco Molinari (+60000)
  • Kazuma Kobori (+60000)
  • Martin Kaymer (+60000)
  • Andrew Svoboda (+100000)
  • Ben Polland (+100000)
  • Camilo Villegas (+100000)
  • Jimmy Walker (+100000)
  • Luke Donald (+100000)
  • Zac Blair (+100000)
  • Jared Jones (+150000)
  • Jason Dufner (+150000)
  • Jesse Mueller (+150000)
  • Michael Block (+150000)
  • YE Yang (+150000)
  • Brad Marek (+200000)
  • Braden Shattuck (+200000)
  • Evan Bowser (+200000)
  • Jeffrey Kellen (+200000)
  • Jeremy Wells (+200000)
  • John Somers (+200000)
  • Josh Bevell (+200000)
  • Josh Speight (+200000)
  • Kyle Mendoza (+200000)
  • Larkin Gross (+200000)
  • Matt Doyns (+200000)
  • Preston Cole (+200000)
  • Tracy Phillips (+200000)
  • Tyler Collet (+200000)
  • Wyatt Worthington (+200000)
  • Zac Oakley (+200000)
  • Shaun Micheel (+250000)
  • John Daly (+300000)
  • Rich Beem (+300000)

Who won the PGA Championship in 2023?

Koepka won his third PGA Championship title and fifth major. He joined Woods and Jack Nicklaus as the only golfers to win three or more PGA Championships in the stroke-play era. Koepka finished two strokes ahead of Scheffler and Hovland.

Reach Louisville football, women's basketball and baseball beat writer Alexis Cubit at acubit@gannett.com and follow her on X at @Alexis_Cubit.

PGA Championship predictions, picks, odds: Who wins at Valhalla in 2024? (2024)
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